2018, Vol. 5, No. 3. - go to content...

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DOI: 10.15862/11ECOR318 (https://doi.org/10.15862/11ECOR318)

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Zemskova E.S. Analysis of the influence of environmental factors on the economic development of the region (on the example of the Republic of Mordovia). Russian journal of resources, conservation and recycling. 2018; 5(3). Available at: https://resources.today/PDF/11ECOR318.pdf (in Russian). DOI: 10.15862/11ECOR318

Analysis of the influence of environmental factors on the economic development of the region (on the example of the Republic of Mordovia)

Zemskova Elena Sergeevna
National research Mordovia state university, Saransk, Russia
E-mail: zemskovalena@mail.ru

Abstract. For a long time, the gross domestic product was the only indicator that allowed one or another state to be classified as “developed» or «developing» without taking into account the created externalities. It is now recognized that not only the amount of added value, but also the environmental factor, appears as an important element of a regional socio-economic system that makes it possible to understand how resource-saving the economy is and to form the basis for sustainable development of the territory. The importance of reflecting the environmental factor in generalizing indicators of the economic development of the territory does not raise doubts at the highest state level, as evidenced by a number of policy documents adopted by the Government of the Russian Federation. In this article, the author has attempted an alternative assessment of sustainable development in the region, taking into account the environmental factor. The subject of the study is the problems of measuring the balance of the ecological and economic development of the territory. As methods in this article, we used analysis, synthesis, deduction, and forecasting in the exponential smoothing model in the Statistica program. On the basis of a compilation of available official statistics, it was decided to use the forecast of the adjusted GRP of the Republic of Mordovia, taking into account the output of the extractive sector and investment in the region in the region. The results of the calculations carried out by the author have demonstrated that GRP, taking into account the criteria of sustainable development, will be greater than the actually predicted value of gross output in the region. In addition, the integration of the integrated environmental index in the calculation of the adjusted GRP will make it possible to reflect more in the indicator the contribution of current environmental pollution. The proposed recommendations can be used to improve the constructed forecast models and conduct inter-regional comparisons.

Keywords: sustainable development; environmental and economic development; indicators of environmental and economic development; gross regional product; resource saving

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