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DOI: 10.15862/16ECOR325 (https://doi.org/10.15862/16ECOR325)

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Goloveckij N.Ja., Vasilev A.A. [Actual problems of ensuring the energy security of the Republic of Crimea in modern conditions] Russian journal of resources, conservation and recycling, 2025, Vol. 12, No. 3. Available at: https://resources.today/PDF/16ECOR325.pdf (in Russian). DOI: 10.15862/16ECOR325

Actual problems of ensuring the energy security of the Republic of Crimea in modern conditions

Goloveckij Nikolaj Jakovlevich
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Krasnogorsk, Russia
E-mail: Nik1957@mail.ru
RSCI: https://elibrary.ru/author_profile.asp?id=715010

Vasilev Anton Alekseevich
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Krasnogorsk, Russia
E-mail: anton.vasilie2017@yandex.ru
RSCI: https://elibrary.ru/author_profile.asp?id=1287353

Abstract. The article is devoted to a comprehensive analysis of the energy security of the Republic of Crimea under unprecedented Western sanctions and geopolitical isolation. The authors have identified key structural problems of the region’s energy system in modern conditions, such as: a shortage of electricity generation (25 %), high dependence on electricity imports (covering the specified deficit), critical deterioration of infrastructure (estimated at 40–60 %). To overcome these and other challenges, a set of scenario solutions has been proposed, including accelerated development of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) (solar and wind generation), large-scale modernization of the grid and in-depth integration with the Russian unified energy system. The results of economic modeling confirm that investments of up to 150 billion rubles are needed to achieve the target of reducing electricity imports by 40 % by 2035. Considerable attention is paid to adapting successful international experience (Germany — smart grids and decentralization; China — clustering of renewable energy facilities and government support; the United Arab Emirates (UAE) — large projects and technologies of concentrated solar energy (CSP)), taking into account the unique regional specifics of Crimea, including climate risks (heat, storms) and legal barriers.

In the article, the authors applied the methods of SWOT analysis, scenario modeling and economic forecasting (calculation of operating costs and return on investment (ROI)). The results obtained and the recommendations developed form a scientifically sound basis for the strategy of sustainable development of the Crimean energy sector, aimed at ensuring reliable, affordable and environmentally friendly energy supply to the region in the long term.

Keywords: energy security; renewable energy sources (RES); Crimea; sanctions; infrastructure; climate risks; scenario modeling; public-private partnership (PPP)

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