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DOI: 10.15862/15ECOR325 (https://doi.org/10.15862/15ECOR325)

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15ECOR325 Transformation of global supply chains under conditions of geopolitical instability and trade regionalization. Russian journal of resources, conservation and recycling. 2025; 12(3). Available at: https://resources.today/PDF/15ECOR325.pdf (in Russian). DOI: 10.15862/15ECOR325

Transformation of global supply chains under conditions of geopolitical instability and trade regionalization

Matveenko Valery Aleksandrovich
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
E-mail: V89299294420VV@gmail.com

Научный руководитель: Kapustina Nadezhda Valerievna
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia
E-mail: NVKapustina@fa.ru
RSCI: https://elibrary.ru/author_profile.asp?id=584779

Abstract. Global supply chains are undergoing a period of fundamental transformation driven by increasing geopolitical instability, trade wars, and trends toward regionalization of international trade. The subject of this research is the processes of structural restructuring of global supply chains under conditions of world economy fragmentation and strengthening protectionist tendencies. The study employs methods of system analysis, comparative analysis of international trade flows, and econometric methods for assessing the impact of geopolitical factors on international trade dynamics. Analysis of the evolution of conceptual approaches to supply chain management demonstrates a transition from the globalization paradigm to concepts of resilience and regional integration. Key research results indicate the formation of a new architecture of international trade relations, characterized by strengthening of the regional component, development of nearshoring and friendshoring strategies, and accelerated digitalization of logistics processes. The developed model of adaptive supply chain transformation accounts for factors of geopolitical risks, technological modernization, and sustainable development requirements. The scientific novelty of the research lies in a comprehensive approach to analyzing transformation processes in global supply chains, identifying patterns of their regionalization, and determining adaptation mechanisms to conditions of geopolitical turbulence. The practical significance of the work is determined by the possibility of using the obtained results for forming supply chain management strategies under conditions of increasing uncertainty in the international trade environment.

Keywords: global supply chains; geopolitical instability; trade regionalization; nearshoring; friendshoring; logistics digitalization; supply chain resilience; US-China trade war; ESG principles; risk management

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